Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.454187e-05 0.000041 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000077 0.000089
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.591817e-05 0.000034 0.000044 0.000056 0.000069 0.000085 0.000104
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.092186e-05 0.000030 0.000041 0.000056 0.000073 0.000093 0.000118
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.633550e-05 0.000026 0.000038 0.000053 0.000073 0.000097 0.000128
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.302538e-05 0.000022 0.000035 0.000052 0.000074 0.000102 0.000137
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.091420e-05 0.000020 0.000033 0.000052 0.000076 0.000108 0.000149
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.894489e-06 0.000018 0.000031 0.000050 0.000077 0.000111 0.000157
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.297535e-06 0.000016 0.000029 0.000049 0.000078 0.000115 0.000166
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.904036e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000048 0.000078 0.000119 0.000174
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.597236e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000046 0.000077 0.000120 0.000179
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.449983e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000044 0.000076 0.000120 0.000182
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.658379e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000042 0.000075 0.000121 0.000188
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.216097e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000044 0.000080 0.000131 0.000206
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.556842e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000042 0.000080 0.000135 0.000217
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.157575e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000042 0.000083 0.000142 0.000231
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.394436e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000040 0.000082 0.000144 0.000239
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.659313e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000039 0.000082 0.000147 0.000248
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.170666e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000039 0.000084 0.000153 0.000261
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.879634e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000084 0.000157 0.000271
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.055501e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000085 0.000161 0.000282
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 5.086306e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000036 0.000085 0.000164 0.000291
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.717274e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000035 0.000084 0.000165 0.000297
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.878818e-09 0.000001 0.000009 0.000032 0.000081 0.000164 0.000301